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Monday, February 13, 2012

Class AA TRUE? Rankings - February 13th, 2012


SCORING
- Wins versus teams that have a .500 or better record
- Number of wins opponents have versus .500 or better opponents

Example:
Duluth East has 14 wins versus opponents with a .500 or better record.
Of those 14 opponents, they won 84 games total against teams with a .500 or better record.

I do not figure in ties or games versus teams from other states. 

The 'system' IS FLAWED. No statistical system can accurately rank a league that has so many teams and most of those teams do not play each other.  Plus, even though the MSHSL recognizes them as legitimate games, you have to throw out all games against Class A teams and teams from different states.  They are essentially exhibition games since they are not a factor in winning a Class AA state title.  To be more accurate, I would have to throw out those 'exhibition' games to identify teams that have a .500 or better record against Class AA teams only.

Also, head-to-head games do matter.  Maple Grove beat Edina twice.  Edina has been successful with a more difficult overall schedule.  Maple Grove's wins over Edina should take precedence. A human element is needed to find some common sense outside of the numbers.  In the end, it is just FUN READING.
Class AA Top 39
(Teams with a .500 or better OVERALL record)
Pos Team Wins versus
.500+ opponents
Points
1 Duluth East (22-1-0)
14 wins vs. .500 or better
Andover
Apple Valley
Blaine
Burnsville
Centennial
Cloquet/E/C
Cloquet/E/C
Eden Prairie
Grand Rapids
Maple Grove
Minnetonka
Moorhead
Wayzata
White Bear Lake
98
2 Minnetonka (20-3-0)
13 wins vs. .500 or better
Apple Valley
Benilde-SM
Burnsville
Centennial
Duluth East
Eagan
Edina
Edina
Hill-Murray
Moorhead
Stillwater
Wayzata
Wayzata
96
3 Edina (19-4-0)
10 wins vs. .500 or better
Blaine
Burnsville
Eden Prairie
Eden Prairie
Elk River/Zim
Grand Rapids
Lakeville South
Minnetonka
Wayzata
White Bear Lake
87
4 Eden Prairie (16-5-1)
12 wins vs. .500 or better
Andover
Burnsville
Centennial
Eagan
Edina
Elk River/Zim
Elk River/Zim
Grand Rapids
Hill-Murray
Lakeville South
Minnetonka
Wayzata
85
5 Maple Grove (19-2-2)
11 wins vs. .500 or better
Andover
Benilde-SM
Benilde-SM
Blaine
Blaine
Centennial
Centennial
Edina
Edina
Elk River/Zim
Wayzata
67
6 Moorhead (16-5-0)
9 wins vs. .500 or better
Bemidji
Bemidji
Benilde-SM
Brainerd/P/P
Centennial
Eden Prairie
Roseau
Roseau
Wayzata
44
7 Eagan (20-2-1)
7 wins vs. .500 or better
Apple Valley
Apple Valley
Burnsville
Hill-Murray
Lakeville South
Lakeville South
Prior Lake
43
8T Lakeville South (15-8-0)
8 wins vs. .500 or better
Apple Valley
Apple Valley
Burnsville
Prior Lake
Rochester Century
Roseville Area
Stillwater Area
White Bear Lake
38
8T Wayzata (13-9-1)
5 wins vs. .500 or better
Apple Valley
Blaine
Eden Prairie
Hill-Murray
Roseville Area
38
10 Grand Rapids (18-6-0)
7 wins vs. .500 or better
Bemidji
Bemidji
Cloquet/E/C
Cloquet/E/C
Moorhead
Roseau
White Bear Lake
33
11T Hill-Murray (17-6-0)
6 wins vs. .500 or better
Blaine
Burnsville
Lakeville South
North St. Paul
North St. Paul
White Bear Lake
32
11T Roseville Area (17-6-0)
6 wins vs. .500 or better
Hastings
Mounds View
Stillwater Area
Park (CG)
Park (CG)
White Bear Lake
32
13 Benilde-SM (16-6-0)
5 wins vs. .500 or better
Burnsville
Centennial
Hill-Murray
Moorhead
Wayzata
31
14T Elk River/Zim (13-8-2)
4 wins vs. .500 or better
Blaine
Centennial
Grand Rapids
Maple Grove
29
14T Hastings (11-10-2)
6 wins vs. .500 or better
Mounds View
Mounds View
North St. Paul
Roseville Area
Stillwater Area
White Bear Lake
29
16 Blaine (16-6-0)
6 wins vs. .500 or better
Andover
Andover
Centennial
Elk River/Zim
Moorhead
Roseau
28
17 Burnsville (14-8-1)
5 wins vs. .500 or better
Apple Valley
Benilde-SM
Hill-Murray
Prior Lake
Prior Lake
25
18 White Bear Lake (13-9-1)
5 wins vs. .500 or better
Rochester Century
Park (CG)
Roseville Area
Stillwater Area
Stillwater Area
23
19 Mounds View (12-9-1)
4 wins vs. .500 or better
Roseville Area
Stillwater Area
Stillwater Area
White Bear Lake
21
20 Park (CG) (11-9-4)
4 wins vs. .500 or better
Chanhassen
Hastings
Hastings
Mounds View
20
21T Prior Lake (14-9-0)
3 wins vs. .500 or better
Apple Valley
Lakeville South
Wayzata
19
21T Stillwater Area (11-10-2)
3 wins vs. .500 or better
Hastings
Park (CG)
Roseville Area
19
23
Rochester Mayo (15-7-1)
4 wins vs. .500 or better
Owatonna
Rochester Century
Rochester JM
Rochester JM
14
24
Andover (15-6-2)
3 wins vs. .500 or better
Cloquet/E/C
Elk River/Zim
Elk River/Zim
13
25
Apple Valley (10-10-2)
3 wins vs. .500 or better
Bemidji
Prior Lake
Stillwater Area
12
26
Rochester JM (10-10-2)
3 wins vs. .500 or better
Owatonna
Rochester Century
Rochester Mayo
11
27
Cloquet/E/C (17-8-0)
2 wins vs. .500 or better
Stillwater
White Bear Lake
10
28
Owatonna (13-7-3)
2 wins vs. .500 or better
Rochester JM
Rochester Mayo
9
29T
Bemidji (14-10-0)
3 wins vs. .500 or better
Brainerd/P/P
River Lakes
Roseau
7
29T
Rochester Century (16-5-2)
2 wins vs. .500 or better
Owatonna
Rochester JM
7
29T
Roseau (13-8-1)
2 wins vs. .500 or better
Bemidji
Holy Family Catholic
7
32
Brainerd/P/P (20-3-0)
2 wins vs. .500 or better
Roseau
Roseau
6
33
St. Paul Johnson (11-11-1)
2 wins vs. .500 or better
North St. Paul
Rochester JM
6
34
Holy Family Catholic (16-8-0)
2 wins vs. .500 or better
Minneapolis
Rochester JM
5
35
Centennial (10-9-3)
1 win vs. .500 or better
Andover4
36
North St. Paul (15-8-0)
1 win vs. .500 or better
St. Michael-Albertville1
37T
Chanhassen (17-4-1)
0 wins vs. .500 or better
None0
37T
Minneapolis (15-7-0)
0 wins vs. .500 or better
None0
37T
River Lakes (13-11-0)
0 wins vs. .500 or better
None0